StatSheet Projects Memphis as NCAA Tournament Bubble Team 11 Seed: 02/12/2012

Filed under StatSeed Update on February 12th, 2012
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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.

StatSheet is projecting Memphis as a bubble team for the NCAA Tournament with potentially an 11 seed. The Tigers are unranked in the AP Poll and sit at #31 in the StatSheet StatRank with an 18-7 overall record and an 8-2 record in the C-USA.

Over the last four games, Memphis held its own with wins against UAB, East Carolina, and Xavier but also took on a loss against RPI #11 Southern Miss.

Memphis struggles against strong competition, with a 5-7 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes a 2-5 record against the RPI Top 50 and an 0-5 record against AP ranked teams. The Tigers have two quality wins including RPI #11 Southern Miss and RPI #35 Miami (FL) with no bad losses at all.

The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Ole Miss (15-9, 5-5 SEC, StatRank #53), Arkansas (17-8, 5-5 SEC, StatRank #63), Purdue (15-9, 5-6 Big Ten, StatRank #57), and Texas (16-9, 6-6 Big 12, StatRank #48).

The first four teams out are Colorado (17-8, 9-4 Pac 12, StatRank #67), Minnesota (17-8, 5-7 Big Ten, StatRank #66), Oregon (18-7, 9-4 Pac 12, StatRank #68), and St. Joseph's (PA) (16-10, 6-5 A-10, StatRank #49).

The next four out are Brigham Young (21-6, 9-3 West Coast, StatRank #49), Iona (19-6, 11-3 MAAC, StatRank #54), South Florida (15-10, 8-4 Big East, StatRank #60), and Xavier (16-9, 7-4 A-10, StatRank #56).

Regional 1
#1Kentucky
#2Baylor
#3Florida
#4Florida State
#5Indiana
#6Louisville
#7Connecticut
#8Gonzaga
#9Alabama
#10Iowa State
#11Memphis
#12Colorado State
#13Arkansas
#14Akron
#15Bucknell
#16Long Island
#17MVSU
Regional 2
#1Missouri
#2Duke
#3Georgetown
#4Michigan
#5San Diego State
#6Mississippi State
#7Creighton
#8Northwestern
#9California
#10Miami (FL)
#11New Mexico
#12Kansas State
#13Ole Miss
#14Long Beach State
#15Davidson
#16Mercer
#17Norfolk State
Regional 3
#1Ohio State
#2Kansas
#3Marquette
#4UNLV
#5Virginia
#6Murray State
#7Temple
#8Seton Hall
#9Harvard
#10Notre Dame
#11NC State
#12MTSU
#13Oral Roberts
#14Nevada
#15Loyola (MD)
#16Texas-Arlington
#17UNCA
Regional 4
#1Syracuse
#2North Carolina
#3Michigan State
#4Southern Miss
#5Wisconsin
#6Saint Mary's
#7Wichita State
#8Vanderbilt
#9Illinois
#10Saint Louis
#11West Virginia
#12Texas
#13Purdue
#14VCU
#15Weber State
#16Valparaiso
#17Stony Brook

NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference


Conf
NCAA
Teams
Conf
Teams
Pct in
NCAA
Big Ten8 1266.7%
Big East8 1650.0%
SEC7 1258.3%
Big 126 1060.0%
ACC6 1250.0%
Mountain West4 850.0%
West Coast2 922.2%
Missouri Valley2 1020.0%
A-102 1414.3%
C-USA2 1216.7%
Southland1 128.3%
Big South1 119.1%
MEAC1 137.7%
Sun Belt1 128.3%
Horizon1 1010.0%
Pac 121 128.3%
Patriot1 812.5%
WAC1 812.5%
America East1 911.1%
SWAC1 1010.0%
Atlantic Sun1 1010.0%
Ivy League1 812.5%
Summit League1 1010.0%
Big Sky1 911.1%
Ohio Valley1 119.1%
CAA1 128.3%
MAC1 128.3%
MAAC1 1010.0%
SoCon1 128.3%
NEC1 128.3%
Big West1 911.1%

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C-USA Standings

OverallConf
 1Memphis 26-9 13-3
2 Southern Miss 25-9 11-5
3 UCF 22-11 10-6
3 Tulsa 17-14 10-6
5 Marshall 21-14 9-7
5 UAB 15-16 9-7
7 Rice 19-16 8-8
8 Houston 15-15 7-9
8 Texas-El Paso 15-17 7-9
10 East Carolina 15-16 5-11
11 SMU 13-19 4-12
12 Tulane 15-16 3-13
Last updated: Apr 7th, 2012

2011-2012 Roster

#12 Drew Barham Jr G/F 6-7 195
#2 Antonio Barton So G 6-2 170
#5 Will Barton So G 6-6 175
#10 Tarik Black So F 6-8 243
#4 C. Carmouche Sr G 6-3 183
#3 Chris Crawford So G 6-4 212
#15 Trey Draper So G 5-10 175
#0 Ferrakohn Hall Jr F 6-8 224
#23 Charles Holt Jr G 5-10 165
#1 Joe Jackson So G 6-1 164
#31 Preston Laird Sr G 6-3 183
#32 Stan Simpson Jr F 6-10 232
#30 D.J. Stephens Jr F/G 6-5 187
#35 Adonis Thomas Fr F/G 6-6 222
#14 H. Tsafack Fr F 6-8 240
#11 W. Witherspoon Sr F/G 6-9 207